driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.612
- brier
- 0.208
- ECE
- 0.250
- field avg
- 51%
- spread
- 85
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
NOR
McLaren
95%grid 3 - 02
PIA
McLaren
94%grid 2 - 03
LEC
Ferrari
91%grid 6 - 04
VER
Red Bull Racing
91%grid 1 - 05
RUS
Mercedes
87%grid 4 - 06
HAM
Ferrari
85%grid 5 - 07
ALO
Aston Martin
77%grid 7 - 08
ANT
Mercedes
67%grid 10 - 09
GAS
Alpine
57%grid 8 - 10
SAI
Williams
50%grid 9 - 11
TSU
Red Bull Racing
39%grid 11 - 12
HAD
Racing Bulls
37%grid 12 - 13
HUL
Kick Sauber
27%grid 19 - 14
LAW
Racing Bulls
26%grid 15 - 15
OCO
Haas F1 Team
21%grid 14 - 16
BOR
Kick Sauber
19%grid 16 - 17
ALB
Williams
19%grid 13 - 18
STR
Aston Martin
18%grid 17 - 19
BEA
Haas F1 Team
17%grid 18 - 20
COL
Alpine
10%grid 20
Top driver · factor breakdown
NOR
McLaren
Probability
95%
- grid position+0.95
- driver form (last 5)+0.66
- team form+0.56
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on NOR (McLaren) at 94.7%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 94.3%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectRace — driver scores points (top 10)