driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.429
- brier
- 0.138
- ECE
- 0.152
- field avg
- 49%
- spread
- 86
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
92%grid 5 - 02
RUS
Mercedes
91%grid 4 - 03
NOR
McLaren
91%grid 1 - 04
LEC
Ferrari
89%grid 2 - 05
PIA
McLaren
89%grid 7 - 06
HAM
Ferrari
87%grid 3 - 07
ANT
Mercedes
82%grid 6 - 08
HAD
Racing Bulls
61%grid 8 - 09
SAI
Williams
56%grid 12 - 10
BEA
Haas F1 Team
54%grid 9 - 11
TSU
Red Bull Racing
49%grid 10 - 12
OCO
Haas F1 Team
26%grid 11 - 13
HUL
Kick Sauber
23%grid 13 - 14
LAW
Racing Bulls
20%grid 15 - 15
ALO
Aston Martin
19%grid 14 - 16
ALB
Williams
16%grid 17 - 17
BOR
Kick Sauber
10%grid 16 - 18
STR
Aston Martin
7%grid 19 - 19
GAS
Alpine
6%grid 18 - 20
COL
Alpine
5%grid 20
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
92%
- grid position+0.75
- driver form (last 5)+0.67
- team form+0.41
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 91.5%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 89.8%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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