driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.366
- brier
- 0.118
- ECE
- 0.171
- field avg
- 49%
- spread
- 88
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
PIA
McLaren
95%grid 1 - 02
NOR
McLaren
93%grid 4 - 03
RUS
Mercedes
92%grid 3 - 04
VER
Red Bull Racing
91%grid 2 - 05
SAI
Williams
75%grid 6 - 06
ALB
Williams
71%grid 7 - 07
LEC
Ferrari
71%grid 11 - 08
ANT
Mercedes
62%grid 13 - 09
HAM
Ferrari
61%grid 12 - 10
ALO
Aston Martin
57%grid 5 - 11
GAS
Alpine
48%grid 10 - 12
HAD
Racing Bulls
41%grid 9 - 13
STR
Aston Martin
40%grid 8 - 14
TSU
Red Bull Racing
32%grid 20 - 15
COL
Alpine
10%grid 16 - 16
OCO
Haas F1 Team
10%grid 18 - 17
LAW
Racing Bulls
10%grid 15 - 18
BEA
Haas F1 Team
9%grid 19 - 19
BOR
Kick Sauber
7%grid 14 - 20
HUL
Kick Sauber
7%grid 17
Top driver · factor breakdown
PIA
McLaren
Probability
95%
- grid position+0.90
- team form+0.67
- driver form (last 5)+0.66
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on PIA (McLaren) at 94.7%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 94.1%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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