driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.502
- brier
- 0.162
- ECE
- 0.193
- field avg
- 54%
- spread
- 84
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
NOR
McLaren
92%grid 1 - 02
RUS
Mercedes
91%grid 6 - 03
LEC
Ferrari
89%grid 3 - 04
ANT
Mercedes
84%grid 2 - 05
PIA
McLaren
80%grid 4 - 06
VER
Red Bull Racing
77%grid 19 - 07
BEA
Haas F1 Team
69%grid 8 - 08
HAM
Ferrari
69%grid 13 - 09
LAW
Racing Bulls
61%grid 7 - 10
HAD
Racing Bulls
59%grid 5 - 11
ALO
Aston Martin
58%grid 11 - 12
GAS
Alpine
46%grid 9 - 13
HUL
Kick Sauber
40%grid 10 - 14
TSU
Red Bull Racing
38%grid 17 - 15
STR
Aston Martin
30%grid 14 - 16
SAI
Williams
28%grid 15 - 17
OCO
Haas F1 Team
27%grid 20 - 18
ALB
Williams
21%grid 12 - 19
BOR
Kick Sauber
10%grid 18 - 20
COL
Alpine
8%grid 16
Top driver · factor breakdown
NOR
McLaren
Probability
92%
- grid position+0.82
- driver form (last 5)+0.64
- team form+0.43
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on NOR (McLaren) at 92.0%.
Strongest team average: Mercedes 87.8%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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