driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.424
- brier
- 0.136
- ECE
- 0.195
- field avg
- 53%
- spread
- 81
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
NOR
McLaren
95%grid 1 - 02
PIA
McLaren
93%grid 2 - 03
LEC
Ferrari
91%grid 3 - 04
VER
Red Bull Racing
90%grid 4 - 05
RUS
Mercedes
87%grid 6 - 06
TSU
Red Bull Racing
73%grid 7 - 07
ALB
Williams
72%grid 5 - 08
LAW
Racing Bulls
57%grid 9 - 09
HAD
Racing Bulls
54%grid 8 - 10
HAM
Ferrari
52%grid 18 - 11
BOR
Kick Sauber
51%grid 10 - 12
HUL
Kick Sauber
46%grid 14 - 13
ANT
Mercedes
41%grid 19 - 14
OCO
Haas F1 Team
34%grid 11 - 15
GAS
Alpine
33%grid 13 - 16
BEA
Haas F1 Team
26%grid 12 - 17
ALO
Aston Martin
23%grid 20 - 18
STR
Aston Martin
18%grid 16 - 19
SAI
Williams
15%grid 17 - 20
COL
Alpine
14%grid 15
Top driver · factor breakdown
NOR
McLaren
Probability
95%
- grid position+0.93
- driver form (last 5)+0.65
- team form+0.58
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on NOR (McLaren) at 94.7%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 93.9%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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