driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.342
- brier
- 0.099
- ECE
- 0.162
- field avg
- 54%
- spread
- 85
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
NOR
McLaren
95%grid 3 - 02
PIA
McLaren
94%grid 2 - 03
RUS
Mercedes
91%grid 4 - 04
LEC
Ferrari
87%grid 1 - 05
ALO
Aston Martin
83%grid 5 - 06
VER
Red Bull Racing
83%grid 8 - 07
STR
Aston Martin
78%grid 6 - 08
BOR
Kick Sauber
69%grid 7 - 09
HAM
Ferrari
67%grid 12 - 10
LAW
Racing Bulls
61%grid 9 - 11
HAD
Racing Bulls
41%grid 10 - 12
SAI
Williams
41%grid 13 - 13
HUL
Kick Sauber
34%grid 18 - 14
ANT
Mercedes
33%grid 15 - 15
BEA
Haas F1 Team
29%grid 11 - 16
GAS
Alpine
23%grid 16 - 17
COL
Alpine
21%grid 14 - 18
ALB
Williams
18%grid 19 - 19
TSU
Red Bull Racing
17%grid 20 - 20
OCO
Haas F1 Team
11%grid 17
Top driver · factor breakdown
NOR
McLaren
Probability
95%
- grid position+0.94
- team form+0.69
- driver form (last 5)+0.67
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on NOR (McLaren) at 95.4%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 94.8%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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