JULES TACK.
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§ Round 14 · 2025

Hungarian Grand Prix.

2025-08-03 · 20 drivers · held-out evaluation

← R13R15 →
driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
log-loss
0.152
brier
0.050
ECE
0.106
field avg
15%
spread
83

Driver ranking

coloured by outcome · hit · miss

  1. 01

    PIA

    McLaren

    83%grid 2
  2. 02

    NOR

    McLaren

    71%grid 3
  3. 03

    LEC

    Ferrari

    67%grid 1
  4. 04

    RUS

    Mercedes

    35%grid 4
  5. 05

    HAM

    Ferrari

    10%grid 12
  6. 06

    ALO

    Aston Martin

    6%grid 5
  7. 07

    STR

    Aston Martin

    5%grid 6
  8. 08

    VER

    Red Bull Racing

    3%grid 8
  9. 09

    HUL

    Kick Sauber

    1%grid 18
  10. 10

    BOR

    Kick Sauber

    1%grid 7
  11. 11

    HAD

    Racing Bulls

    1%grid 10
  12. 12

    TSU

    Red Bull Racing

    1%grid 20
  13. 13

    GAS

    Alpine

    1%grid 16
  14. 14

    ALB

    Williams

    1%grid 19
  15. 15

    LAW

    Racing Bulls

    1%grid 9
  16. 16

    ANT

    Mercedes

    1%grid 15
  17. 17

    COL

    Alpine

    1%grid 14
  18. 18

    SAI

    Williams

    1%grid 13
  19. 19

    OCO

    Haas F1 Team

    1%grid 17
  20. 20

    BEA

    Haas F1 Team

    1%grid 11

Top driver · factor breakdown

PIA

McLaren

Probability

83%

  • grid position
    +1.83
  • team form
    +1.14
  • driver form (last 5)
    +0.83
pushes probability downshappushes probability up

Summary

Strongest signal on PIA (McLaren) at 83.1%.

Strongest team average: McLaren 76.8%.

Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.

Back to F1 projectRace — driver finishes on the podium (top 3)