driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.156
- brier
- 0.048
- ECE
- 0.115
- field avg
- 14%
- spread
- 74
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
74%grid 1 - 02
NOR
McLaren
71%grid 2 - 03
RUS
Mercedes
56%grid 4 - 04
LEC
Ferrari
34%grid 3 - 05
PIA
McLaren
20%grid 6 - 06
ANT
Mercedes
13%grid 7 - 07
HAM
Ferrari
9%grid 5 - 08
TSU
Red Bull Racing
3%grid 13 - 09
SAI
Williams
1%grid 9 - 10
ALO
Aston Martin
1%grid 10 - 11
BEA
Haas F1 Team
1%grid 8 - 12
HUL
Kick Sauber
1%grid 11 - 13
LAW
Racing Bulls
1%grid 12 - 14
GAS
Alpine
1%grid 14 - 15
ALB
Williams
1%grid 18 - 16
COL
Alpine
1%grid 15 - 17
STR
Aston Martin
1%grid 19 - 18
HAD
Racing Bulls
1%grid 20 - 19
OCO
Haas F1 Team
1%grid 17 - 20
BOR
Kick Sauber
0%grid 16
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
74%
- grid position+1.89
- driver form (last 5)+0.70
- team form+0.68
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 74.5%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 45.7%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectRace — driver finishes on the podium (top 3)