driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.363
- brier
- 0.089
- ECE
- 0.162
- field avg
- 25%
- spread
- 79
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
81%grid 1 - 02
RUS
Mercedes
77%grid 4 - 03
PIA
McLaren
72%grid 6 - 04
NOR
McLaren
69%grid 2 - 05
LEC
Ferrari
49%grid 3 - 06
ANT
Mercedes
41%grid 7 - 07
HAM
Ferrari
24%grid 5 - 08
ALO
Aston Martin
20%grid 10 - 09
HAD
Racing Bulls
15%grid 20 - 10
TSU
Red Bull Racing
14%grid 13 - 11
LAW
Racing Bulls
10%grid 12 - 12
BOR
Kick Sauber
6%grid 16 - 13
SAI
Williams
5%grid 9 - 14
GAS
Alpine
4%grid 14 - 15
ALB
Williams
3%grid 18 - 16
BEA
Haas F1 Team
3%grid 8 - 17
STR
Aston Martin
3%grid 19 - 18
HUL
Kick Sauber
2%grid 11 - 19
COL
Alpine
2%grid 15 - 20
OCO
Haas F1 Team
2%grid 17
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
81%
- Q3 appearance rate+1.55
- driver form (last 3)+0.97
- team form+0.77
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 81.2%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 70.8%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectSprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5