driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.327
- brier
- 0.106
- ECE
- 0.137
- field avg
- 13%
- spread
- 80
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
NOR
McLaren
81%grid 1 - 02
VER
Red Bull Racing
73%grid 2 - 03
RUS
Mercedes
34%grid 4 - 04
SAI
Williams
21%grid 3 - 05
PIA
McLaren
15%grid 5 - 06
ANT
Mercedes
6%grid 17 - 07
LEC
Ferrari
6%grid 9 - 08
HAM
Ferrari
5%grid 19 - 09
TSU
Red Bull Racing
4%grid 20 - 10
BEA
Haas F1 Team
3%grid 14 - 11
OCO
Haas F1 Team
2%grid 13 - 12
LAW
Racing Bulls
2%grid 6 - 13
STR
Aston Martin
2%grid 12 - 14
COL
Alpine
1%grid 15 - 15
HUL
Kick Sauber
1%grid 11 - 16
ALO
Aston Martin
1%grid 7 - 17
ALB
Williams
1%grid 16 - 18
BOR
Kick Sauber
1%grid 18 - 19
GAS
Alpine
1%grid 10 - 20
HAD
Racing Bulls
1%grid 8
Top driver · factor breakdown
NOR
McLaren
Probability
81%
- grid position+1.86
- team form+0.92
- driver form (last 5)+0.73
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on NOR (McLaren) at 80.7%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 48.0%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectRace — driver finishes on the podium (top 3)