driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.236
- brier
- 0.058
- ECE
- 0.161
- field avg
- 51%
- spread
- 85
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
PIA
McLaren
93%grid 4 - 02
NOR
McLaren
93%grid 2 - 03
RUS
Mercedes
92%grid 5 - 04
VER
Red Bull Racing
89%grid 1 - 05
ANT
Mercedes
88%grid 3 - 06
LEC
Ferrari
84%grid 8 - 07
SAI
Williams
81%grid 6 - 08
ALB
Williams
74%grid 7 - 09
HAM
Ferrari
69%grid 12 - 10
OCO
Haas F1 Team
66%grid 9 - 11
TSU
Red Bull Racing
60%grid 10 - 12
HAD
Racing Bulls
41%grid 11 - 13
DOO
Alpine
17%grid 14 - 14
LAW
Racing Bulls
16%grid 15 - 15
BOR
Kick Sauber
13%grid 13 - 16
ALO
Aston Martin
13%grid 17 - 17
BEA
Haas F1 Team
11%grid 19 - 18
GAS
Alpine
11%grid 20 - 19
HUL
Kick Sauber
10%grid 16 - 20
STR
Aston Martin
8%grid 18
Top driver · factor breakdown
PIA
McLaren
Probability
93%
- grid position+1.01
- team form+0.75
- driver form (last 5)+0.69
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on PIA (McLaren) at 93.4%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 93.1%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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