driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.136
- brier
- 0.050
- ECE
- 0.088
- field avg
- 6%
- spread
- 51
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
51%grid 1 - 02
NOR
McLaren
40%grid 2 - 03
PIA
McLaren
25%grid 4 - 04
RUS
Mercedes
3%grid 5 - 05
ANT
Mercedes
2%grid 3 - 06
LEC
Ferrari
1%grid 8 - 07
HAM
Ferrari
0%grid 12 - 08
TSU
Red Bull Racing
0%grid 10 - 09
SAI
Williams
0%grid 6 - 10
ALB
Williams
0%grid 7 - 11
HUL
Kick Sauber
0%grid 16 - 12
STR
Aston Martin
0%grid 18 - 13
GAS
Alpine
0%grid 20 - 14
OCO
Haas F1 Team
0%grid 9 - 15
BOR
Kick Sauber
0%grid 13 - 16
DOO
Alpine
0%grid 14 - 17
LAW
Racing Bulls
0%grid 15 - 18
BEA
Haas F1 Team
0%grid 19 - 19
ALO
Aston Martin
0%grid 17 - 20
HAD
Racing Bulls
0%grid 11
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
51%
- grid position+2.55
- driver form (last 5)+1.15
- driver form (last 3)+0.57
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 51.3%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 32.4%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectRace — driver WINS (1st place)