driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.045
- brier
- 0.009
- ECE
- 0.039
- field avg
- 6%
- spread
- 74
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
NOR
McLaren
74%grid 1 - 02
LEC
Ferrari
32%grid 2 - 03
PIA
McLaren
13%grid 3 - 04
HAM
Ferrari
2%grid 4 - 05
RUS
Mercedes
2%grid 5 - 06
VER
Red Bull Racing
1%grid 7 - 07
ANT
Mercedes
0%grid 9 - 08
TSU
Red Bull Racing
0%grid 18 - 09
LAW
Racing Bulls
0%grid 6 - 10
ALO
Aston Martin
0%grid 11 - 11
SAI
Williams
0%grid 19 - 12
STR
Aston Martin
0%grid 16 - 13
GAS
Alpine
0%grid 10 - 14
ALB
Williams
0%grid 12 - 15
COL
Alpine
0%grid 14 - 16
BOR
Kick Sauber
0%grid 8 - 17
BEA
Haas F1 Team
0%grid 15 - 18
HUL
Kick Sauber
0%grid 20 - 19
OCO
Haas F1 Team
0%grid 17 - 20
HAD
Racing Bulls
0%grid 13
Top driver · factor breakdown
NOR
McLaren
Probability
74%
- grid position+2.76
- driver form (last 5)+1.22
- team form+1.07
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on NOR (McLaren) at 74.2%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 43.6%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectRace — driver WINS (1st place)