driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.578
- brier
- 0.190
- ECE
- 0.229
- field avg
- 50%
- spread
- 68
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
86%grid 7 - 02
NOR
McLaren
81%grid 1 - 03
RUS
Mercedes
76%grid 5 - 04
LEC
Ferrari
72%grid 2 - 05
BOR
Kick Sauber
72%grid 8 - 06
ALB
Williams
72%grid 12 - 07
BEA
Haas F1 Team
64%grid 15 - 08
ALO
Aston Martin
64%grid 11 - 09
GAS
Alpine
60%grid 10 - 10
LAW
Racing Bulls
58%grid 6 - 11
ANT
Mercedes
45%grid 9 - 12
HAD
Racing Bulls
40%grid 13 - 13
OCO
Haas F1 Team
37%grid 17 - 14
COL
Alpine
36%grid 14 - 15
STR
Aston Martin
32%grid 16 - 16
HAM
Ferrari
29%grid 4 - 17
PIA
McLaren
26%grid 3 - 18
SAI
Williams
21%grid 19 - 19
TSU
Red Bull Racing
20%grid 18 - 20
HUL
Kick Sauber
18%grid 20
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
86%
- vs teammate grid+0.97
- vs teammate quali+0.40
- driver form (last 5)+0.25
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 86.1%.
Strongest team average: Mercedes 60.6%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectHead-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race