driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.575
- brier
- 0.196
- ECE
- 0.216
- field avg
- 50%
- spread
- 79
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
NOR
McLaren
92%grid 1 - 02
PIA
McLaren
90%grid 3 - 03
LEC
Ferrari
88%grid 2 - 04
RUS
Mercedes
87%grid 5 - 05
HAM
Ferrari
85%grid 4 - 06
VER
Red Bull Racing
83%grid 7 - 07
ANT
Mercedes
80%grid 9 - 08
LAW
Racing Bulls
70%grid 6 - 09
BOR
Kick Sauber
61%grid 8 - 10
GAS
Alpine
48%grid 10 - 11
ALO
Aston Martin
39%grid 11 - 12
HAD
Racing Bulls
38%grid 13 - 13
ALB
Williams
28%grid 12 - 14
TSU
Red Bull Racing
20%grid 18 - 15
HUL
Kick Sauber
19%grid 20 - 16
OCO
Haas F1 Team
18%grid 17 - 17
BEA
Haas F1 Team
17%grid 15 - 18
COL
Alpine
15%grid 14 - 19
STR
Aston Martin
15%grid 16 - 20
SAI
Williams
13%grid 19
Top driver · factor breakdown
NOR
McLaren
Probability
92%
- grid position+0.92
- driver form (last 5)+0.59
- team form+0.53
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on NOR (McLaren) at 92.4%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 91.4%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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