driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.588
- brier
- 0.203
- ECE
- 0.096
- field avg
- 52%
- spread
- 63
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
87%grid 4 - 02
RUS
Mercedes
86%grid 2 - 03
PIA
McLaren
73%grid 1 - 04
OCO
Haas F1 Team
72%grid 11 - 05
HUL
Kick Sauber
72%grid 12 - 06
ALB
Williams
65%grid 10 - 07
GAS
Alpine
64%grid 16 - 08
HAD
Racing Bulls
58%grid 7 - 09
HAM
Ferrari
57%grid 5 - 10
STR
Aston Martin
49%grid 14 - 11
ALO
Aston Martin
48%grid 13 - 12
LEC
Ferrari
45%grid 6 - 13
TSU
Racing Bulls
42%grid 9 - 14
BEA
Haas F1 Team
37%grid 17 - 15
DOO
Alpine
36%grid 18 - 16
BOR
Kick Sauber
32%grid 19 - 17
ANT
Mercedes
31%grid 8 - 18
SAI
Williams
31%grid 15 - 19
NOR
McLaren
30%grid 3 - 20
LAW
Red Bull Racing
25%grid 20
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
87%
- vs teammate grid+1.01
- vs teammate quali+0.52
- driver form (last 5)+0.23
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 87.3%.
Strongest team average: Mercedes 58.6%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectHead-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race