driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.139
- brier
- 0.036
- ECE
- 0.079
- field avg
- 39%
- spread
- 98
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
99%grid 4 - 02
HAM
Ferrari
98%grid 5 - 03
RUS
Mercedes
96%grid 2 - 04
LEC
Ferrari
96%grid 6 - 05
NOR
McLaren
94%grid 3 - 06
PIA
McLaren
94%grid 1 - 07
ANT
Mercedes
86%grid 8 - 08
TSU
Racing Bulls
25%grid 9 - 09
ALB
Williams
24%grid 10 - 10
STR
Aston Martin
16%grid 14 - 11
SAI
Williams
15%grid 15 - 12
ALO
Aston Martin
14%grid 13 - 13
BEA
Haas F1 Team
10%grid 17 - 14
BOR
Kick Sauber
4%grid 19 - 15
GAS
Alpine
3%grid 16 - 16
HAD
Racing Bulls
2%grid 7 - 17
DOO
Alpine
2%grid 18 - 18
OCO
Haas F1 Team
1%grid 11 - 19
LAW
Red Bull Racing
1%grid 20 - 20
HUL
Kick Sauber
1%grid 12
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
99%
- sprint grid+3.27
- driver form (last 5)+2.07
- driver form (last 3)−0.38
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 98.8%.
Strongest team average: Ferrari 96.8%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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