driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.195
- brier
- 0.060
- ECE
- 0.109
- field avg
- 39%
- spread
- 99
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
RUS
Mercedes
99%grid 4 - 02
NOR
McLaren
99%grid 2 - 03
PIA
McLaren
98%grid 1 - 04
VER
Red Bull Racing
97%grid 3 - 05
ANT
Mercedes
85%grid 5 - 06
TSU
Red Bull Racing
73%grid 15 - 07
ALO
Aston Martin
69%grid 8 - 08
LEC
Ferrari
68%grid 10 - 09
SAI
Williams
32%grid 7 - 10
BEA
Haas F1 Team
16%grid 13 - 11
HAD
Racing Bulls
15%grid 6 - 12
ALB
Williams
14%grid 14 - 13
BOR
Kick Sauber
6%grid 19 - 14
HUL
Kick Sauber
4%grid 11 - 15
OCO
Haas F1 Team
3%grid 16 - 16
HAM
Ferrari
2%grid 17 - 17
LAW
Racing Bulls
2%grid 12 - 18
STR
Aston Martin
1%grid 18 - 19
GAS
Alpine
1%grid 9 - 20
COL
Alpine
0%grid 20
Top driver · factor breakdown
RUS
Mercedes
Probability
99%
- sprint grid+3.27
- driver form (last 5)+1.46
- team form+0.73
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on RUS (Mercedes) at 98.9%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 98.5%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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