driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.681
- brier
- 0.248
- ECE
- 0.216
- field avg
- 51%
- spread
- 71
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
87%grid 3 - 02
GAS
Alpine
79%grid 8 - 03
ALB
Williams
71%grid 11 - 04
RUS
Mercedes
70%grid 4 - 05
HAM
Ferrari
67%grid 5 - 06
PIA
McLaren
66%grid 1 - 07
BOR
Kick Sauber
65%grid 12 - 08
HAD
Racing Bulls
62%grid 9 - 09
BEA
Haas F1 Team
55%grid 14 - 10
ANT
Mercedes
50%grid 6 - 11
OCO
Haas F1 Team
38%grid 16 - 12
LAW
Racing Bulls
35%grid 13 - 13
NOR
McLaren
34%grid 2 - 14
HUL
Kick Sauber
32%grid 15 - 15
LEC
Ferrari
30%grid 7 - 16
SAI
Williams
30%grid 17 - 17
COL
Alpine
23%grid 18 - 18
TSU
Red Bull Racing
15%grid 19
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
87%
- vs teammate grid+0.98
- vs teammate quali+0.54
- driver form (last 5)+0.20
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 86.5%.
Strongest team average: Mercedes 60.1%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectHead-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race