driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.553
- brier
- 0.186
- ECE
- 0.180
- field avg
- 51%
- spread
- 66
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
82%grid 1 - 02
SAI
Williams
76%grid 2 - 03
NOR
McLaren
75%grid 7 - 04
LEC
Ferrari
67%grid 10 - 05
BEA
Haas F1 Team
67%grid 15 - 06
COL
Alpine
64%grid 16 - 07
BOR
Kick Sauber
61%grid 13 - 08
ALO
Aston Martin
58%grid 11 - 09
LAW
Racing Bulls
56%grid 3 - 10
RUS
Mercedes
51%grid 5 - 11
ANT
Mercedes
50%grid 4 - 12
HAD
Racing Bulls
42%grid 8 - 13
OCO
Haas F1 Team
41%grid 20 - 14
STR
Aston Martin
39%grid 14 - 15
GAS
Alpine
38%grid 18 - 16
HAM
Ferrari
37%grid 12 - 17
HUL
Kick Sauber
32%grid 17 - 18
PIA
McLaren
31%grid 9 - 19
TSU
Red Bull Racing
28%grid 6 - 20
ALB
Williams
16%grid 19
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
82%
- vs teammate grid+0.71
- vs teammate quali+0.42
- driver form (last 5)+0.21
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 81.8%.
Strongest team average: Red Bull Racing 54.7%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectHead-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race