driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.057
- brier
- 0.016
- ECE
- 0.045
- field avg
- 4%
- spread
- 49
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
49%grid 1 - 02
PIA
McLaren
19%grid 9 - 03
NOR
McLaren
13%grid 7 - 04
SAI
Williams
2%grid 2 - 05
RUS
Mercedes
1%grid 5 - 06
LAW
Racing Bulls
1%grid 3 - 07
ANT
Mercedes
1%grid 4 - 08
TSU
Red Bull Racing
0%grid 6 - 09
LEC
Ferrari
0%grid 10 - 10
HAM
Ferrari
0%grid 12 - 11
OCO
Haas F1 Team
0%grid 20 - 12
HUL
Kick Sauber
0%grid 17 - 13
STR
Aston Martin
0%grid 14 - 14
COL
Alpine
0%grid 16 - 15
ALO
Aston Martin
0%grid 11 - 16
GAS
Alpine
0%grid 18 - 17
ALB
Williams
0%grid 19 - 18
BEA
Haas F1 Team
0%grid 15 - 19
BOR
Kick Sauber
0%grid 13 - 20
HAD
Racing Bulls
0%grid 8
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
49%
- grid position+2.97
- quali gap to pole+0.64
- driver form (last 3)+0.61
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 48.7%.
Strongest team average: Red Bull Racing 24.5%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectRace — driver WINS (1st place)