driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.531
- brier
- 0.173
- ECE
- 0.231
- field avg
- 51%
- spread
- 58
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
82%grid 2 - 02
ALO
Aston Martin
71%grid 6 - 03
RIC
RB
69%grid 5 - 04
RUS
Mercedes
66%grid 1 - 05
BOT
Kick Sauber
65%grid 19 - 06
NOR
McLaren
64%grid 3 - 07
ALB
Williams
60%grid 10 - 08
MAG
Haas F1 Team
60%grid 14 - 09
LEC
Ferrari
59%grid 11 - 10
GAS
Alpine
52%grid 15 - 11
SAI
Ferrari
48%grid 12 - 12
PIA
McLaren
47%grid 4 - 13
SAR
Williams
41%grid 13 - 14
TSU
RB
40%grid 8 - 15
ZHO
Kick Sauber
38%grid 20 - 16
OCO
Alpine
35%grid 18 - 17
HUL
Haas F1 Team
33%grid 17 - 18
STR
Aston Martin
32%grid 9 - 19
HAM
Mercedes
29%grid 7 - 20
PER
Red Bull Racing
24%grid 16
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
82%
- vs teammate grid+0.90
- vs teammate quali+0.33
- driver form (last 5)+0.17
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 81.8%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 55.5%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectHead-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race