driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.681
- brier
- 0.243
- ECE
- 0.131
- field avg
- 50%
- spread
- 55
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
82%grid 1 - 02
NOR
McLaren
78%grid 2 - 03
BOT
Kick Sauber
68%grid 18 - 04
RUS
Mercedes
67%grid 3 - 05
RIC
RB
63%grid 11 - 06
OCO
Alpine
63%grid 10 - 07
SAI
Ferrari
52%grid 4 - 08
TSU
RB
51%grid 14 - 09
ZHO
Kick Sauber
50%grid 20 - 10
HUL
Haas F1 Team
50%grid 9 - 11
ALO
Aston Martin
44%grid 15 - 12
ALB
Williams
44%grid 16 - 13
LEC
Ferrari
41%grid 6 - 14
STR
Aston Martin
39%grid 17 - 15
GAS
Alpine
39%grid 13 - 16
MAG
Haas F1 Team
39%grid 12 - 17
SAR
Williams
38%grid 19 - 18
HAM
Mercedes
37%grid 5 - 19
PER
Red Bull Racing
29%grid 8 - 20
PIA
McLaren
27%grid 7
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
82%
- vs teammate grid+0.85
- vs teammate quali+0.32
- driver form (last 5)+0.17
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 81.8%.
Strongest team average: Kick Sauber 58.9%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectHead-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race