driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.617
- brier
- 0.212
- ECE
- 0.196
- field avg
- 52%
- spread
- 81
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
NOR
McLaren
90%grid 3 - 02
VER
Red Bull Racing
90%grid 2 - 03
PIA
McLaren
87%grid 4 - 04
LEC
Ferrari
85%grid 11 - 05
RUS
Mercedes
85%grid 1 - 06
HAM
Mercedes
84%grid 7 - 07
SAI
Ferrari
77%grid 12 - 08
RIC
RB
76%grid 5 - 09
ALO
Aston Martin
73%grid 6 - 10
PER
Red Bull Racing
66%grid 16 - 11
TSU
RB
59%grid 8 - 12
STR
Aston Martin
44%grid 9 - 13
ALB
Williams
21%grid 10 - 14
GAS
Alpine
17%grid 15 - 15
MAG
Haas F1 Team
16%grid 14 - 16
SAR
Williams
16%grid 13 - 17
BOT
Kick Sauber
14%grid 19 - 18
HUL
Haas F1 Team
12%grid 17 - 19
OCO
Alpine
11%grid 18 - 20
ZHO
Kick Sauber
10%grid 20
Top driver · factor breakdown
NOR
McLaren
Probability
90%
- grid position+0.98
- driver form (last 5)+0.61
- team form+0.55
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on NOR (McLaren) at 90.1%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 88.8%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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