§ Round 02 · 2024
Saudi Arabian Grand Prix.
2024-03-09 · 20 drivers · held-out evaluation
driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.401
- brier
- 0.119
- ECE
- 0.241
- field avg
- 53%
- spread
- 82
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
91%grid 1 - 02
ALO
Aston Martin
86%grid 4 - 03
PER
Red Bull Racing
86%grid 3 - 04
LEC
Ferrari
85%grid 2 - 05
NOR
McLaren
82%grid 6 - 06
RUS
Mercedes
81%grid 7 - 07
HAM
Mercedes
72%grid 8 - 08
PIA
McLaren
71%grid 5 - 09
BEA
Ferrari
68%grid 11 - 10
STR
Aston Martin
64%grid 10 - 11
TSU
RB
60%grid 9 - 12
RIC
RB
34%grid 14 - 13
OCO
Alpine
32%grid 17 - 14
BOT
Kick Sauber
31%grid 16 - 15
GAS
Alpine
28%grid 18 - 16
MAG
Haas F1 Team
24%grid 13 - 17
ZHO
Kick Sauber
22%grid 20 - 18
ALB
Williams
17%grid 12 - 19
HUL
Haas F1 Team
17%grid 15 - 20
SAR
Williams
9%grid 19
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
91%
- grid position+0.80
- team form+0.76
- driver form (last 5)+0.64
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 90.6%.
Strongest team average: Red Bull Racing 88.2%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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