driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.389
- brier
- 0.123
- ECE
- 0.201
- field avg
- 48%
- spread
- 87
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
93%grid 6 - 02
NOR
McLaren
91%grid 4 - 03
LEC
Ferrari
88%grid 1 - 04
SAI
Ferrari
86%grid 3 - 05
RUS
Mercedes
85%grid 5 - 06
HAM
Mercedes
83%grid 7 - 07
PIA
McLaren
82%grid 2 - 08
PER
Red Bull Racing
59%grid 16 - 09
TSU
RB
57%grid 8 - 10
ALO
Aston Martin
41%grid 14 - 11
RIC
RB
41%grid 12 - 12
STR
Aston Martin
37%grid 13 - 13
OCO
Alpine
26%grid 11 - 14
ALB
Williams
21%grid 9 - 15
GAS
Alpine
21%grid 10 - 16
HUL
Haas F1 Team
11%grid 19 - 17
SAR
Williams
11%grid 15 - 18
BOT
Kick Sauber
11%grid 17 - 19
ZHO
Kick Sauber
7%grid 18 - 20
MAG
Haas F1 Team
6%grid 20
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
93%
- grid position+0.84
- team form+0.70
- driver form (last 5)+0.65
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 93.0%.
Strongest team average: Ferrari 87.2%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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