driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.386
- brier
- 0.117
- ECE
- 0.207
- field avg
- 52%
- spread
- 81
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
SAI
Ferrari
89%grid 2 - 02
LEC
Ferrari
89%grid 4 - 03
NOR
McLaren
86%grid 6 - 04
VER
Red Bull Racing
85%grid 5 - 05
RUS
Mercedes
85%grid 1 - 06
GAS
Alpine
84%grid 3 - 07
PIA
McLaren
79%grid 8 - 08
HAM
Mercedes
75%grid 10 - 09
OCO
Alpine
67%grid 11 - 10
TSU
RB
60%grid 7 - 11
PER
Red Bull Racing
51%grid 15 - 12
HUL
Haas F1 Team
47%grid 9 - 13
MAG
Haas F1 Team
37%grid 12 - 14
LAW
RB
23%grid 14 - 15
ALO
Aston Martin
18%grid 16 - 16
ZHO
Kick Sauber
17%grid 13 - 17
STR
Aston Martin
16%grid 18 - 18
ALB
Williams
12%grid 17 - 19
COL
Williams
9%grid 20 - 20
BOT
Kick Sauber
9%grid 19
Top driver · factor breakdown
SAI
Ferrari
Probability
89%
- grid position+0.93
- team form+0.47
- driver form (last 5)+0.34
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on SAI (Ferrari) at 89.3%.
Strongest team average: Ferrari 89.1%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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