driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.545
- brier
- 0.178
- ECE
- 0.218
- field avg
- 49%
- spread
- 80
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
92%grid 4 - 02
RUS
Mercedes
90%grid 1 - 03
NOR
McLaren
88%grid 3 - 04
SAI
Ferrari
87%grid 7 - 05
PIA
McLaren
84%grid 5 - 06
HAM
Mercedes
83%grid 2 - 07
LEC
Ferrari
82%grid 11 - 08
HUL
Haas F1 Team
78%grid 6 - 09
ALO
Aston Martin
60%grid 10 - 10
STR
Aston Martin
55%grid 8 - 11
PER
Red Bull Racing
38%grid 20 - 12
TSU
RB
22%grid 13 - 13
ALB
Williams
21%grid 9 - 14
RIC
RB
21%grid 15 - 15
SAR
Williams
21%grid 12 - 16
MAG
Haas F1 Team
15%grid 17 - 17
BOT
Kick Sauber
15%grid 16 - 18
ZHO
Kick Sauber
14%grid 14 - 19
OCO
Alpine
13%grid 18 - 20
GAS
Alpine
12%grid 19
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
92%
- grid position+0.97
- driver form (last 5)+0.62
- team form+0.40
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 92.4%.
Strongest team average: Mercedes 86.4%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectRace — driver scores points (top 10)