driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.510
- brier
- 0.166
- ECE
- 0.163
- field avg
- 51%
- spread
- 81
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
95%grid 6 - 02
LEC
Ferrari
93%grid 1 - 03
NOR
McLaren
90%grid 4 - 04
PER
Red Bull Racing
90%grid 16 - 05
SAI
Ferrari
89%grid 3 - 06
PIA
McLaren
87%grid 2 - 07
RUS
Mercedes
84%grid 5 - 08
HAM
Mercedes
70%grid 7 - 09
ALO
Aston Martin
59%grid 14 - 10
TSU
RB
45%grid 8 - 11
HUL
Haas F1 Team
36%grid 19 - 12
STR
Aston Martin
30%grid 13 - 13
GAS
Alpine
26%grid 10 - 14
RIC
RB
26%grid 12 - 15
BOT
Kick Sauber
21%grid 17 - 16
OCO
Alpine
20%grid 11 - 17
MAG
Haas F1 Team
17%grid 20 - 18
ALB
Williams
16%grid 9 - 19
ZHO
Kick Sauber
15%grid 18 - 20
SAR
Williams
14%grid 15
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
95%
- Q3 appearance rate+1.01
- team form+0.88
- finish pattern+0.48
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 94.8%.
Strongest team average: Red Bull Racing 92.3%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectQualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)