§ Round 02 · 2024
Saudi Arabian Grand Prix.
2024-03-09 · 20 drivers · held-out evaluation
driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.382
- brier
- 0.114
- ECE
- 0.160
- field avg
- 51%
- spread
- 78
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
96%grid 1 - 02
PER
Red Bull Racing
91%grid 3 - 03
LEC
Ferrari
88%grid 2 - 04
RUS
Mercedes
81%grid 7 - 05
ALO
Aston Martin
77%grid 4 - 06
NOR
McLaren
74%grid 6 - 07
HAM
Mercedes
70%grid 8 - 08
PIA
McLaren
68%grid 5 - 09
BEA
Ferrari
58%grid 11 - 10
GAS
Alpine
45%grid 18 - 11
STR
Aston Martin
44%grid 10 - 12
OCO
Alpine
41%grid 17 - 13
TSU
RB
26%grid 9 - 14
RIC
RB
24%grid 14 - 15
ALB
Williams
23%grid 12 - 16
BOT
Kick Sauber
23%grid 16 - 17
HUL
Haas F1 Team
22%grid 15 - 18
MAG
Haas F1 Team
21%grid 13 - 19
SAR
Williams
20%grid 19 - 20
ZHO
Kick Sauber
18%grid 20
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
96%
- team form+1.09
- Q3 appearance rate+0.80
- finish pattern+0.50
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 96.4%.
Strongest team average: Red Bull Racing 93.9%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectQualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)