driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.074
- brier
- 0.021
- ECE
- 0.058
- field avg
- 6%
- spread
- 49
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
49%grid 2 - 02
NOR
McLaren
37%grid 3 - 03
RUS
Mercedes
12%grid 1 - 04
LEC
Ferrari
8%grid 11 - 05
PIA
McLaren
3%grid 4 - 06
SAI
Ferrari
1%grid 12 - 07
HAM
Mercedes
1%grid 7 - 08
PER
Red Bull Racing
1%grid 16 - 09
RIC
RB
1%grid 5 - 10
ALO
Aston Martin
0%grid 6 - 11
SAR
Williams
0%grid 13 - 12
TSU
RB
0%grid 8 - 13
ZHO
Kick Sauber
0%grid 20 - 14
MAG
Haas F1 Team
0%grid 14 - 15
GAS
Alpine
0%grid 15 - 16
OCO
Alpine
0%grid 18 - 17
HUL
Haas F1 Team
0%grid 17 - 18
STR
Aston Martin
0%grid 9 - 19
BOT
Kick Sauber
0%grid 19 - 20
ALB
Williams
0%grid 10
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
49%
- driver form (last 5)+1.78
- grid position+1.43
- quali gap to pole+0.76
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 49.0%.
Strongest team average: Red Bull Racing 24.8%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectRace — driver WINS (1st place)