driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.063
- brier
- 0.014
- ECE
- 0.055
- field avg
- 8%
- spread
- 74
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
NOR
McLaren
74%grid 1 - 02
LEC
Ferrari
34%grid 9 - 03
PIA
McLaren
28%grid 5 - 04
VER
Red Bull Racing
12%grid 2 - 05
HAM
Mercedes
2%grid 3 - 06
RUS
Mercedes
2%grid 4 - 07
SAI
Ferrari
1%grid 10 - 08
HUL
Haas F1 Team
0%grid 6 - 09
OCO
Alpine
0%grid 15 - 10
TSU
RB
0%grid 8 - 11
ZHO
Kick Sauber
0%grid 20 - 12
PER
Red Bull Racing
0%grid 13 - 13
RIC
RB
0%grid 16 - 14
BOT
Kick Sauber
0%grid 19 - 15
MAG
Haas F1 Team
0%grid 14 - 16
GAS
Alpine
0%grid 18 - 17
STR
Aston Martin
0%grid 17 - 18
ALO
Aston Martin
0%grid 7 - 19
ALB
Williams
0%grid 11 - 20
COL
Williams
0%grid 12
Top driver · factor breakdown
NOR
McLaren
Probability
74%
- grid position+2.22
- driver form (last 5)+1.61
- team form+1.06
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on NOR (McLaren) at 74.1%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 51.3%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectRace — driver WINS (1st place)