driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.111
- brier
- 0.038
- ECE
- 0.078
- field avg
- 6%
- spread
- 48
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
NOR
McLaren
49%grid 1 - 02
PIA
McLaren
34%grid 2 - 03
VER
Red Bull Racing
29%grid 3 - 04
HAM
Mercedes
5%grid 5 - 05
RUS
Mercedes
2%grid 17 - 06
SAI
Ferrari
1%grid 4 - 07
PER
Red Bull Racing
1%grid 16 - 08
LEC
Ferrari
0%grid 6 - 09
TSU
RB
0%grid 10 - 10
SAR
Williams
0%grid 14 - 11
GAS
Alpine
0%grid 20 - 12
HUL
Haas F1 Team
0%grid 11 - 13
ALO
Aston Martin
0%grid 7 - 14
ALB
Williams
0%grid 13 - 15
OCO
Alpine
0%grid 19 - 16
MAG
Haas F1 Team
0%grid 15 - 17
BOT
Kick Sauber
0%grid 12 - 18
ZHO
Kick Sauber
0%grid 18 - 19
RIC
RB
0%grid 9 - 20
STR
Aston Martin
0%grid 8
Top driver · factor breakdown
NOR
McLaren
Probability
49%
- grid position+2.71
- quali gap to pole+0.72
- team form+0.71
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on NOR (McLaren) at 48.6%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 41.2%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectRace — driver WINS (1st place)