driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.275
- brier
- 0.093
- ECE
- 0.168
- field avg
- 17%
- spread
- 88
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
88%grid 1 - 02
SAI
Ferrari
62%grid 2 - 03
LEC
Ferrari
54%grid 4 - 04
PER
Red Bull Racing
46%grid 6 - 05
NOR
McLaren
38%grid 3 - 06
PIA
McLaren
14%grid 5 - 07
RUS
Mercedes
11%grid 7 - 08
ALO
Aston Martin
3%grid 10 - 09
HAM
Mercedes
3%grid 11 - 10
STR
Aston Martin
2%grid 9 - 11
TSU
RB
1%grid 8 - 12
OCO
Alpine
1%grid 15 - 13
ALB
Williams
1%grid 12 - 14
GAS
Alpine
1%grid 17 - 15
MAG
Haas F1 Team
1%grid 14 - 16
ZHO
Kick Sauber
1%grid 19 - 17
RIC
RB
1%grid 18 - 18
BOT
Kick Sauber
1%grid 13 - 19
HUL
Haas F1 Team
1%grid 16
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
88%
- grid position+1.86
- team form+1.16
- driver form (last 5)+0.99
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 88.4%.
Strongest team average: Red Bull Racing 67.0%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectRace — driver finishes on the podium (top 3)