JULES TACK.
Season202420252026
Round0203040506070809101112131415161718192021222324
§ Round 15 · 2024

Dutch Grand Prix.

2024-08-25 · 20 drivers · held-out evaluation

← R14R16 →
driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
log-loss
0.234
brier
0.077
ECE
0.111
field avg
16%
spread
76

Driver ranking

coloured by outcome · hit · miss

  1. 01

    NOR

    McLaren

    77%grid 1
  2. 02

    PIA

    McLaren

    70%grid 3
  3. 03

    VER

    Red Bull Racing

    70%grid 2
  4. 04

    RUS

    Mercedes

    32%grid 4
  5. 05

    HAM

    Mercedes

    22%grid 14
  6. 06

    LEC

    Ferrari

    14%grid 6
  7. 07

    PER

    Red Bull Racing

    11%grid 5
  8. 08

    SAI

    Ferrari

    5%grid 10
  9. 09

    ALO

    Aston Martin

    2%grid 7
  10. 10

    STR

    Aston Martin

    1%grid 8
  11. 11

    HUL

    Haas F1 Team

    1%grid 12
  12. 12

    ZHO

    Kick Sauber

    1%grid 17
  13. 13

    SAR

    Williams

    1%grid 18
  14. 14

    TSU

    RB

    1%grid 11
  15. 15

    RIC

    RB

    1%grid 13
  16. 16

    MAG

    Haas F1 Team

    1%grid 20
  17. 17

    ALB

    Williams

    1%grid 19
  18. 18

    BOT

    Kick Sauber

    1%grid 16
  19. 19

    GAS

    Alpine

    1%grid 9
  20. 20

    OCO

    Alpine

    1%grid 15

Top driver · factor breakdown

NOR

McLaren

Probability

77%

  • grid position
    +1.91
  • team form
    +0.95
  • quali gap to pole
    +0.62
pushes probability downshappushes probability up

Summary

Strongest signal on NOR (McLaren) at 76.9%.

Strongest team average: McLaren 73.5%.

Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.

Back to F1 projectRace — driver finishes on the podium (top 3)