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§ Round 24 · 2024

Abu Dhabi Grand Prix.

2024-12-08 · 20 drivers · held-out evaluation

← R23
driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
log-loss
0.262
brier
0.090
ECE
0.078
field avg
16%
spread
62

Driver ranking

coloured by outcome · hit · miss

  1. 01

    VER

    Red Bull Racing

    62%grid 4
  2. 02

    SAI

    Ferrari

    56%grid 3
  3. 03

    NOR

    McLaren

    51%grid 1
  4. 04

    PIA

    McLaren

    50%grid 2
  5. 05

    RUS

    Mercedes

    30%grid 6
  6. 06

    LEC

    Ferrari

    23%grid 19
  7. 07

    GAS

    Alpine

    21%grid 5
  8. 08

    HUL

    Haas F1 Team

    5%grid 7
  9. 09

    PER

    Red Bull Racing

    4%grid 10
  10. 10

    HAM

    Mercedes

    4%grid 16
  11. 11

    DOO

    Alpine

    3%grid 17
  12. 12

    BOT

    Kick Sauber

    2%grid 9
  13. 13

    ALO

    Aston Martin

    2%grid 8
  14. 14

    MAG

    Haas F1 Team

    1%grid 14
  15. 15

    TSU

    RB

    1%grid 11
  16. 16

    LAW

    RB

    1%grid 12
  17. 17

    ZHO

    Kick Sauber

    1%grid 15
  18. 18

    ALB

    Williams

    1%grid 18
  19. 19

    STR

    Aston Martin

    1%grid 13
  20. 20

    COL

    Williams

    1%grid 20

Top driver · factor breakdown

VER

Red Bull Racing

Probability

62%

  • grid position
    +1.03
  • driver form (last 5)
    +0.98
  • team form
    +0.64
pushes probability downshappushes probability up

Summary

Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 62.2%.

Strongest team average: McLaren 50.7%.

Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.

Back to F1 projectRace — driver finishes on the podium (top 3)