driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.026
- brier
- 0.004
- ECE
- 0.023
- field avg
- 4%
- spread
- 72
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
ANT
Mercedes
72%grid 1 - 02
RUS
Mercedes
13%grid 2 - 03
VER
Red Bull Racing
3%grid 8 - 04
NOR
McLaren
2%grid 6 - 05
LEC
Ferrari
2%grid 4 - 06
HAM
Ferrari
1%grid 3 - 07
PIA
McLaren
1%grid 5 - 08
HAD
Red Bull Racing
0%grid 9 - 09
GAS
Alpine
0%grid 7 - 10
PER
Cadillac
0%grid 21 - 11
LAW
Racing Bulls
0%grid 14 - 12
BOT
Cadillac
0%grid 19 - 13
BEA
Haas F1 Team
0%grid 10 - 14
STR
Aston Martin
0%grid 20 - 15
HUL
Audi
0%grid 11 - 16
ALB
Williams
0%grid 22 - 17
COL
Alpine
0%grid 12 - 18
OCO
Haas F1 Team
0%grid 13 - 19
ALO
Aston Martin
0%grid 18 - 20
BOR
Audi
0%grid 16 - 21
SAI
Williams
0%grid 17 - 22
LIN
Racing Bulls
0%grid 15
Top driver · factor breakdown
ANT
Mercedes
Probability
72%
- grid position+3.63
- quali gap to pole+1.33
- team form+0.98
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on ANT (Mercedes) at 72.1%.
Strongest team average: Mercedes 42.6%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectRace — driver WINS (1st place)