JULES TACK.
Season202420252026
Round010203
§ Round 01 · 2026

Australian Grand Prix.

2026-03-08 · 22 drivers · held-out evaluation

R02 →
driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
log-loss
0.652
brier
0.229
ECE
0.301
field avg
50%
spread
42

Driver ranking

coloured by outcome · hit · miss

  1. 01

    ALB

    Williams

    71%grid 15
  2. 02

    LEC

    Ferrari

    70%grid 4
  3. 03

    ALO

    Aston Martin

    69%grid 17
  4. 04

    RUS

    Mercedes

    67%grid 1
  5. 05

    HAD

    Red Bull Racing

    62%grid 3
  6. 06

    LIN

    Racing Bulls

    61%grid 9
  7. 07

    GAS

    Alpine

    58%grid 14
  8. 08

    PER

    Cadillac

    54%grid 18
  9. 09

    BOR

    Audi

    53%grid 10
  10. 10

    HUL

    Audi

    53%grid 11
  11. 11

    BEA

    Haas F1 Team

    52%grid 12
  12. 12

    NOR

    McLaren

    47%grid 6
  13. 13

    PIA

    McLaren

    46%grid 5
  14. 14

    OCO

    Haas F1 Team

    46%grid 13
  15. 15

    LAW

    Racing Bulls

    45%grid 8
  16. 16

    HAM

    Ferrari

    40%grid 7
  17. 17

    SAI

    Williams

    39%grid 21
  18. 18

    ANT

    Mercedes

    38%grid 2
  19. 19

    BOT

    Cadillac

    37%grid 19
  20. 20

    COL

    Alpine

    34%grid 16
  21. 21

    VER

    Red Bull Racing

    30%grid 20
  22. 22

    STR

    Aston Martin

    29%grid 22

Top driver · factor breakdown

ALB

Williams

Probability

71%

  • vs teammate grid
    +0.80
  • track history
    +0.12
  • vs teammate quali
    −0.06
pushes probability downshappushes probability up

Summary

Strongest signal on ALB (Williams) at 71.1%.

Strongest team average: Ferrari 55.3%.

Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.

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